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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">bekhterev</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Обозрение психиатрии и медицинской психологии имени В.М.Бехтерева</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>V.M. BEKHTEREV REVIEW OF PSYCHIATRY AND MEDICAL PSYCHOLOGY</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2313-7053</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2713-055X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>V. M. BEKHTEREV  NATIONAL  RESEARCH  MEDICAL  CENTER  FOR  PSYCHIATRY  AND  NEUROLOGY                           OF    THE  RUSSIAN  FEDERATION   MINISTRY  OF  HEALTH</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.31363/2313-7053-2024-902</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">bekhterev-1065</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>НАУЧНЫЕ ОБЗОРЫ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>SCIENTIFIC REVIEW</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Вероятностная диагностика биполярного аффективного расстройства: возможности и ограничения</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Probabilistic diagnosis of bipolar affective disorder: possibilities and limitations (literature review)</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9813-3789</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Симуткин</surname><given-names>Г. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Simutkin</surname><given-names>G. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Симуткин Герман Геннадьевич - д.м.н., ведущий научный сотрудник отделения аффективных состояний</p><p>634014 Томск, ул. Алеутская 4</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ggsimutkin@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Научно-исследовательский институт психического здоровья, Томский национальный исследовательский медицинский центр Российской академии наук</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Mental Health Research Institute, Tomsk National Research Medical Center, Russian Academy Sciences</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2024</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>15</day><month>12</month><year>2024</year></pub-date><volume>58</volume><issue>4-1</issue><fpage>45</fpage><lpage>60</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Симуткин Г.Г., 2024</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2024</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Симуткин Г.Г.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Simutkin G.G.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.bekhterevreview.com/jour/article/view/1065">https://www.bekhterevreview.com/jour/article/view/1065</self-uri><abstract><p>В обзоре литературы представлены основные современные данные об эпидемиологии и социально-экономическом значении биполярного аффективного расстройства (БАР), рассмотрены трудности ранней диагностики расстройств биполярного спектра, предикторы биполярного течения аффективных расстройств и вероятностный подход к диагностике БАР, обсуждаются спорные вопросы диагностики смешанных аффективных состояний, применения потенциальных биомаркеров как для диагностики БАР, так и для дифференциальной диагностики униполярной и биполярной депрессии, а также возможные терапевтические подходы при вероятностной диагностике БАР.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The literature review presents the main modern data on the epidemiology and socio-economic significance of bipolar affective disorder (BD), discusses the difficulties of early diagnosis of bipolar spectrum disorders, predictors of the bipolar course of affective disorders and a probabilistic approach to the diagnosis of BD, discusses controversial issues in the diagnosis of mixed affective states, the use of potential biomarkers both for the diagnosis of bipolar disorder and for the differential diagnosis of unipolar and bipolar depression, as well as possible therapeutic approaches for the probabilistic diagnosis of bipolar disorder.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>БАР</kwd><kwd>вероятностная диагностика</kwd><kwd>предикторы и потенциальные маркеры биполярности</kwd><kwd>уни- и биполярная депрессия</kwd><kwd>конверсия диагноза</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>bipolar disorder</kwd><kwd>probabilistic diagnosis</kwd><kwd>predictors and potential markers of bipolarity</kwd><kwd>uni- and bipolar depression</kwd><kwd>diagnosis conversion</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Аведисова А.С., Воробьев Р.В. 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